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The Guardian’s analysis shows that 2 million people may be infected with Covid this summer, which may mean that as many as 10 million people must be quarantined in just six weeks, which raises warnings of health risks and economic damage.
When these data were released, Health Minister Sajid Javid (Sajid Javid) stated that England has completely lifted the blockade rules from July 19 and is entering “unknown territory.”New infections are easy More than 100,000 per day He said there was more throughout the summer than at any time during the pandemic.
Q&A
Covid cases by number
Performance
28,773: The current daily infection rate in the UK
50,000: The government’s estimate of the daily number of infections on July 19
100,000: Sajid Javid’s estimate of daily cases that may occur this summer
5,000: If this happens, labor’s estimate of the number of Covid cases per day
81,513: The highest total number of infections in one day in the history of the UK (December 29, 2020)
2 million: The total number of possible new infections by mid-August
Ten million: Estimated number of people told to be quarantined before the system change on August 16
12 million: By mid-August, the number of people in England who may not have been vaccinated
60%: Percentage of hotel staff aged 16 to 34
Javid announced that anyone who has received a double vaccine No need to isolate After contact with a confirmed Covid case from August 16, children under the age of 18 are also exempt. The adult rule applies at least 10 days after the second injection. Anyone infected with Covid must still be quarantined according to law.
The Guardian learned that ministers were warned that abandoning the requirement to quarantine contacts immediately on July 19 would result in 25% more cases than waiting another four weeks.
However, the decision to wait before abolishing the self-isolation rule, coupled with the surge in further unlocked cases, has raised concerns about the long-term Covid losses and the possible chaos caused by companies that are forced to close due to employee absences.
UK Hospitality has called for additional measures to protect an industry where 60% of workers are between the ages of 16-34-which means that by mid-August, many people will not be vaccinated. The trade agency said that even with the current infection rate, the requirement for self-isolation is causing a “massage.”
The ministers acknowledged that with the country’s unblocking, the increase in cases is inevitable, but they believe that the speed of vaccination means that there will not be a large number of hospitalizations or deaths. However, the latest official data shows that the number of people hospitalized due to the new crown virus has increased by 38% in the past week to 1,988, which is the fastest increase since October last year.
Downing Street also believes that the risk of reopening in summer is less than delaying the reopening in the fall, because the fall may coincide with the return of unvaccinated children to the classroom and seasonal flu.