After YFI prices rose by 100% in less than 3 weeks, Yearn.finance is facing a callback risk

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Yearning for financeYFI) After rising to close to $42,000 for five consecutive days, it seems to be preparing for a price correction. It is worth noting that the lack of sufficient purchase volume and the risk of overbought are behind the bearish outlook.

YFI price rebound so far

YFI price As traders moved funds out of “top” cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, it soared by more than 47% to $41,970 in five days.Bitcoin) And ether (Ethereum) And look for short-term opportunities in the altcoin market.

Yearn.finance is one of the so-called beneficiaries Capital migration, Given that its value to BTC and ETH has risen by nearly 47% and 41.50% respectively in just five days.At the same time, at the core of the sudden emergence of traders Buying interest in YFI market It is a token repurchase program.

After the announcement of the token repurchase plan, the daily price performance of YFI/ETH and YFI/BTC. Source: TradingView

On December 16, the Yearn.finance team announced that it had Purchased YFI tokens worth more than USD 7.5 million The average price from the open market is $26,651 per unit. It also revealed that the additional cash of USD 45 million in its treasury will be used to continue its YFI repurchase boom.

In addition, the Yearn.finance community also proposed that the YFI Ministry of Finance directly use part of the token repurchase to reward YFI holders who actively participate in Yearn Governance.Proposal (full details here) Is currently in the voting stage.

After the token repurchase announcement, the price of YFI surged more than 100% against the U.S. dollar.

YFI’s price correction risk

However, despite the rise, YFI’s trading volume has declined, indicating that traders have low confidence in its upward movement.

The daily chart of YFI/USD shows the price-volume divergence. Source: TradingView

Usually, a Bearish divergence A correction or consolidation will occur between price and volume until the belief increases. Therefore, the possibility of YFI at least suspending its continued price increase is very high, and its daily relative strength index has also entered the overbought area above 70, which is a sell signal.

related: In just four days after Yearn.finance’s $7.5 million repurchase, YFI prices rose by 46%

In addition, the latest price increase of Yearn.finance token brings it closer to the known inflection point near $40,000, as shown in the Fibonacci retracement chart below.

The YFI/USD three-day price chart shows Fibonacci entry and exit levels. Source: TradingView

In detail, the 0.618 Fib line near US$40,113 has been restricting YFI’s intraday upward attempts. The same level helped prevent the price of the token from rising between October and November, which later caused the price of YFI to fall to a 12-month low, close to $17,000.

Nevertheless, if the bulls manage to decisively push the price of YFI above the 0.618 line, they may also define the token as outside the multi-month range of support at approximately $25,500 and resistance at $40,000. In this case, YFI’s next upside target may move towards the 0.5 Fib line near $51,000.

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