Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano battle predictions, cards, odds, start time, how to watch, preview

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Except when Jermell Charlo and Brian Castaño met on Saturday to crown the first undisputed champion of the junior welterweight four-belt era. In addition to the obvious huge bet, the best part of this 154-pound duel is the contrast of styles.

Charlo (34-1, 18 KOs) is a 31-year-old Houston native who is a dangerous counter-attack with a perfect balance of speed and power. However, this weekend he will defend his WBA, WBC and IBF titles at the AT&T Center in San Antonio (Show time, 9pm EST) Against a completely different animal in Castaño (17-0-1, 12 KOs), the 31-year-old WBO champion from Argentina never retreats.

The most fascinating thing is the expectation of fireworks between the two champions, not to mention that any fighter may have the exact style of the Kryptonite that can become an opponent.

“I’m stronger than before, and I’m faster. I think I’m ready,” Charlow said At the final press conference on Thursday“It’s not just power-I have power in both hands, and power in every punch, from all angles. But I am very happy to face another champion at this moment. This is not just another opponent. I know He has a game plan and we will figure out what to do with him on Saturday.”

Although Charlo is the more athletic and explosive fighter of the two, Castaño is more aggressive and is willing to challenge the jab that enters the opponent to attack the body and work inside.

The difference between Castaño and the equally determined grinder is often that he is much more responsible defensively, but if there is a start, he is still willing to finish the game at any time.

“Speaking of it, if I had to lower my punch output to put more power into things, I would,” Castagno said. “We have a war to fight on Saturday. I promise I will not be disappointed. You will enjoy this battle. I promise you will see a full-scale war and I will win.”

Charlo’s main concern is that if he proves that he can’t finish Castaño in the first half, he won’t appreciate his work too much.

Although his output efficiency is very high, the problem often becomes Charlo’s problem in close combat, that is, he did not fight enough to leave any doubt on the scorecard. To some extent, this has always been Charlo’s Achilles’ heel, and it may be the only reason for his failure-a controversial decision against Tony Harrison was lost in 2018. Charlo avenged him through the knockouts in the second year. Undoubtedly failed in a close combat through his activities until the end.

According to CompuBox’s data, statistics only support this growth trend, because Charlo only attempts 36.2 strikes per round, ranking third among all active fighters. His 10.4 punches were also the fourth fewest in the game.

On the other hand, Castagno’s average number of punches is more than twice the number of punches per round by Charlo (84.3), which is 28 more than the average of the junior middleweight. Castaño also doubled Charlo in 23 shots per round, 20.2 of which were powerful shots.

Battle card, odds

  • Jermell Charlo (c) -240 vs. Brian Castaño (c) +200, unified junior welterweight champion
  • Rolando Romero -380 vs. Anthony Yigit +300, lightweight
  • Amilcar Vidal -490 vs. Immanuwel Aleem +370, middleweight

prophecy

According to the above data, if Charlo did not speed up his pace against Castaño, if this turned out to be a competitive battle against the judges, he might be rudely awakened. Thanks to Castaño’s record of endurance and durability, this is a very likely result.

However, the statistical comparison does not take into account how good Charlo’s defense is and how often his power threats reduce the opponent’s output. In addition, Castaño also made considerable progress in this battle after winning consecutive victories against Wale Omotoso and Patrick Teixeira, who won him the WBO championship.

Castaño’s hardest test to date was the only flaw in his career, when he had an exciting and competitive draw in 2019 with then champion Erislandy Lara. This battle proved that Castaño can fight at a world level, but it was also in the early stage of the career slide, seeing Laura less dependent on his feet and more willing to stand and trade when necessary.

Charlo was at the peak of his body, and he joined the battle as a more dangerous threat to Castaño than Lara at the time. If he wants to make Castagno pay the price for going forward, he will need his jab to be both positive and accurate.

In view of the danger of Charlow as a counter-attack sniper, few opponents can carry out long-term physical attacks on him. But considering how comfortable the Argentine is when attacking with two punches at close range, Charlo needs to make sure that he prevents Castano from getting into his jabs frequently. This is a fight.

If Charlo can use his jab to keep away from Castaño and maintain the threat of his right hand, then considering Charlo’s overall skill advantage, this is a battle that should be won. Otherwise, Charlo will take a legal risk, and Castagno may slow him down through his body, and may defeat him in the position to enter the championship.

Charlo has enough tools to get the job done, but he needs the right mentality to match. This includes acting as early as possible to become the aggressor and training his opponent to prevent the kind of adjustment that could cause Castagno to rebound from behind.

Jermall Charlo is the undefeated WBC middleweight champion and the brother of Jermell. Last fall, he withstood the rigorous challenge from Sergiy Derevyanchenko and passed the difficult test, relying on his heavy jabs and wisdom to deal with opponents. Every potential shock called out. Jermell needs to do the same, otherwise he will run the risk that the referee prefers the aggressiveness of Castaño rather than the craftsmanship of a unified championship.

Pick: Charlow passes MD12



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